In the four years following the 2008 recession, the coal industry lost more than 49 000 jobs.
On the other hand, the natural gas, solar and wind industries together created nearly four times that amount, according to a new study from Duke University.
A county-by-county geographical analysis of the losses and gains shows that few new jobs were added in regions hardest hit by coal’s decline, particularly counties in southern West Virginia and eastern Kentucky.
Lincoln Pratson, senior author of the report, explained: “Our study shows it has not been a one-for-one replacement. The counties that were very reliant on the coal industry are now in the most difficult position.”
To estimate changes in electricity generation employment, Pratson and research analyst Drew Haerer examined data relating to both direct and indirect job growth and loss for each industry. This included operations and maintenance jobs at electric power plants, as well as operations and maintenance jobs in resource extraction and fuel transportation.
Data for solar and wind generator operations and maintenance jobs were provided by the industries themselves.
Job changes in the coal and natural gas industries were derived using a model that analysed year-to-year economic activity and energy production occurring within each sector of the two industries to estimate gains or losses in employment that supported electricity generation.
Overall, regions that had the largest energy job increases were the Northeast, Southwest, Midwest and West. Regions that experienced the greatest job losses overall were Appalachia, the Uinta Basin of Utah and Colorado, and parts of the Powder River Basin in Montana and Wyoming.
The lack of geographic overlap of job loss and job creation is the result of a number of factors, Pratson explained. “The areas where a lot of coal is mined in Appalachia, for example, are very rugged and heavily forested - not easy places to set up solar panels or wind farms.”
Differences in the availability of state incentives for renewable energy also had an effect, Haerer noted. “States with incentives have more growth. The southeast is incentive-free, and there is almost no development of green energy there compared to other regions.”
One way for states that depend heavily on the coal industry to cope with changing energy trends may be to transition to clean coal technology, which reduces coal plants’ negative environmental impacts.
Adapted from Duke University press release by Katie Woodward
Read the article online at: https://www.worldcoal.com/coal/07042015/duke-university-coal-jobs-report-2147/